
USD at a Crossroads: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Extend Their Gains?
EUR/USD and AUD/USD have surged as the US dollar weakened. But with the Dollar Index testing key support, is a near-term rebound taking shape?

Market Analyst
The US dollar has come under renewed pressure following last week's FOMC meeting and coordinated support for the Japanese yen by Japan's Ministry of Finance and the US Treasury. The move has fuelled gains in EUR/USD and AUD/USD, while raising fresh questions over whether the Dollar Index has formed a significant top.
US Dollar Outlook: What It Means for EUR/USD and AUD/USD
In this video, Matt Simpson analyses the Dollar Index on the daily and weekly charts, highlighting why it may be approaching a key inflection point despite the broader bearish outlook. He also explains why EUR/USD and AUD/USD could be vulnerable to a near-term pullback before attempting to extend their longer-term advances, and discusses the key technical levels to watch ahead of ISM surveys and Non-Farm Payrolls.
View related analysis:
- Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Rally Meets ISM, NFP and DXY Support
- Japanese Yen Surges as MOF Steals the BOJ's Thunder After FOMC
- Gold Bounces Within Range After Post-FOMC Dollar Selloff
- US Dollar Rally Builds Momentum, Crude Oil Holds the Key
- Australian Dollar Broadly Lower as Soft CPI Reverses RBA Hike Bets

EUR/USD forecast: All eyes on Warsh at Jackson Hole - Forex Friday
For much of this week, the EUR/USD has been edging lower with the US dollar regaining some ground after last week’s sell-off that was triggered, in part, by the bond market worries. Investors have been unwilling to bet further against the US dollar so far this week ahead of Kevin Warsh’s keynote speech at the Jackson Hole summit, due later today.

DAX and EUR/USD forecast: Lower energy prices, yields offer support
But the question, of course, is how much further oil prices and bond yields can fall. For now, the combination is supportive of risk assets and is helping to sustain a relatively benign decline in the dollar. The focus today will be on US core PCE inflation, due for release shortly, while Nvidia’s second-quarter earnings will provide another test for risk appetite after the US markets close – not just for US indices but for global tech-heavy indices given the influence Nvidia has over the global tech and AI names.

Oil, EUR/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch 2608
Oil falls further on diplomatic hopes for a Middle East resolution. EUR/USD consolidates ahead of U.S. inflation and Jackson Hole.












